Global Chip Market Will Reach $1 Trillion in Sales This Year

Feb 7, 2026
4 min read
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Global Chip Market Will Reach $1 Trillion in Sales This Year

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The semiconductor industry will cross the $1 trillion annual sales threshold this year. This projection from the Semiconductor Industry Association follows 2025 revenue of $791.7 billion, representing 25.6% growth over the previous year.

Artificial intelligence infrastructure spending fuels the expansion. Technology companies worldwide commit hundreds of billions to data center construction, creating what analysts describe as an unprecedented investment cycle.

Logic devices dominated 2025 results with $301.9 billion in revenue. This segment expanded 39.9% year-over-year, driven by advanced computing chips from Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, and Intel. These processors form the backbone of AI training and inference systems.

Memory products generated $223.1 billion in sales, growing 34.8%. High-bandwidth memory used in AI applications experienced particularly strong demand as prices increased amid supply constraints. The memory category ranked as the industry's second-largest segment.

John Neuffer, SIA president and CEO who announced plans to retire in mid-2026, confirmed the milestone trajectory.

"The global semiconductor industry posted its highest-ever annual sales in 2025, nearly hitting $800 billion. Global sales in 2026 are projected to reach roughly $1 trillion."

Neuffer reported consistent optimism from industry executives during recent Silicon Valley meetings.

"The refrain I heard was, 'No one knows what's going to happen with the AI buildout a year from now, but my orders are completely full,'" he told Reuters. "At least for the next year, we're on a pretty strong glide path."

Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya forecasts 30% year-over-year growth for 2026. His December 2025 analysis predicted the AI data center systems market would exceed $1.2 trillion by 2030, with AI accelerators alone representing a $900 billion opportunity.

Regional performance showed significant variation in 2025. The Americas region led with 30.5% growth, while Asia Pacific markets expanded 45%. China recorded 17.3% growth, Europe gained 6.3%, and Japan declined 4.7%.

Fourth quarter 2025 results accelerated the momentum. Chip sales reached $236.6 billion during the period, up 37.1% year-over-year and 13.6% sequentially from the previous quarter. This acceleration suggests both volume increases and price elevation contributed to the growth.

AMD CEO Lisa Su outlined aggressive expansion plans in November 2025. She projected 35% annual revenue growth over the next three to five years, driven by what she called "insatiable" demand for AI chips. The company's AI data center business could grow approximately 80% annually during that timeframe.

Industry capacity expansion plans aim to meet escalating demand. Semiconductor manufacturing capacity is expected to increase more than 50% by the end of the decade. This expansion addresses both current shortages and anticipated future requirements.

The $1 trillion milestone represents near-doubling of industry size over six years. Global chip revenue stood at approximately $600 billion in 2020 before the current expansion cycle began.

The rapid growth reflects fundamental shifts in computing architecture toward AI-optimized systems.

Emerging technologies beyond AI will sustain long-term demand. Neuffer cited IoT, 6G, and autonomous driving as additional drivers.

"Semiconductors are the foundation of nearly all modern technology. These emerging technologies will continue to drive strong demand for chips."

The industry's growth trajectory faces potential constraints. Energy consumption, manufacturing complexity, and skilled labor shortages present challenges as production scales to meet trillion-dollar demand levels. Companies are developing fully autonomous fabrication facilities to address labor constraints.

Global semiconductor sales reached $236.6 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025, marking the strongest quarterly performance in industry history.

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