A shift is happening, and with Hillary going negative the shift could be even more pronounced in the coming days.
New York Senator Hillary Clintonâ€™s lead over Illinois Senator Barack Obama in South Carolinaâ€™s Presidential Primary has disappeared. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the race shows Clinton with 36% of the vote while Obama is the top choice for 34% of the stateâ€™s Likely Primary Voters. A month ago, Clinton had a ten-point advantage. In September, the former First Lady was up by thirteen points.
Hillary’s saving grace?
Among supporters of John Edwards, Clinton is the second choice for 34% while Obama gets the nod from 16%.
Key demo shift…
Obamaâ€™s showing has improved significantly among black voters. He now attracts 51% of the African-American vote in South Carolina while Clinton picks up just 27%. A month ago, the candidates were even in this important constituency (Obama 46%, Clinton 45%). There is virtually no movement among white voters in the state–Clinton now earns 43% of the white vote, Edwards 22%, and Obama 17%.
In the South Carolina survey, African-Americans constitute 49% of Likely Democratic Primary voters.
With Obama and Oprah filling up stadiums on their Double-O tour, I can’t see how Hillary can recover from that deficit.